The much-anticipated approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) remains uncertain, according to recent updates from industry insiders. Despite initial speculation and optimism, several reporters and analysts have revised their predictions and delayed the expected timeline for approval. This has left investors eagerly awaiting further developments.
TechCrunch reporter Jacquelyn Melinek, who had previously suggested an imminent approval, has now adjusted her expectations. In a recent message on X, Melinek stated that approvals could likely happen next week, but there is “no definitive timing.” She explained that the pace of progress is slower due to ongoing behind-the-scenes work conducted by the government. This delay has disappointed many who were anxiously awaiting positive news.
Melinek also emphasized the unpredictability of the situation, stating that she can’t control changes in the expected timeline. However, she mentioned that issuers are expected to finalize their 19b-4 filings soon, which will make the necessary rule changes for exchanges like Nasdaq, NYSE Arca, and Cboe BZX to list each spot Bitcoin ETF. Unfortunately, as of Jan. 5, the SEC had not published relevant updates on its national securities exchange page.
Eleanor Terrett, a Fox Business reporter, initially suggested a possible approval on Friday but has now shifted her expectations. Terrett believes that the applicants will submit 19-b4 filings soon and that the approval will likely occur next week. James Seyffart, an ETF analyst at Bloomberg, originally predicted approval by Jan. 10 but now believes that potential approval orders will be issued in the coming week.
The SEC is facing a decision on a joint application from Ark Invest and 21Shares by Wednesday, Jan. 10. While there is a possibility of rejection, many commentators anticipate approval not only for this particular ETF but also for several other applications. Optimism stems from the extensive meetings between the SEC and ETF applicants, along with numerous amendments from the applicants themselves. Moreover, major asset management firms like BlackRock and Fidelity have also submitted applications, further raising hopes for future approvals.
Despite the initial excitement surrounding the potential approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF, recent updates suggest a longer wait for investors. The changing timelines and revised predictions reflect the unpredictable nature of the approval process. While many remain optimistic due to various positive indicators, including extensive discussions and applications from reputable firms, the final outcome remains uncertain. Investors will need to exercise patience and closely monitor developments in the coming weeks to gauge the future of spot Bitcoin ETFs.
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